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Japan's short-term survey index of large-scale manufacturing industry in December reported 14, with an estimated 13.CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI ​ ​ replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.CITIC Jiantou: The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point. The CITIC Jiantou research report pointed out that 1) focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. 2) With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) In combination with the catering channels that continue to recover, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations, and at the same time, the current molasses market price is further reduced from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity; 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.

The A-share financing balance hit a new high of more than 9 years, and the big consumption sector broke out. According to china securities journal, on December 12, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends.After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.Britain's GFK consumer confidence index was negative 17 in December, the highest since August, and negative 18 in November. The survey estimated that it was negative 18.

Korean media: South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister. The East Asia Daily did not explain that the source reported that South Korean President Yin Xiyue tried to appoint a new defense minister, which indicated that Yin Xiyue might resume his job, although he said last week that he would let the ruling party decide how to stabilize future state affairs and his term of office. After making a public speech on Thursday, Yin Xiyue approved the 42 agendas adopted at this week's cabinet meeting. This shows that Yin Xiyue may exercise the presidential power immediately after he hinted in his speech that he had no intention of stepping down.Yingsi Intelligent announced that it had received a milestone payment of $10 million from Exelixis. On December 13th, Yingsi Intelligent, a biomedical technology company, announced that based on the progress made in the clinical stage of XL309(ISM3091) project, the company had recently received the first clinical milestone payment from Exelixis, with a total amount of $10 million.Futures on the Nikkei Stock Exchange of Singapore opened down 175 points to 39,635.